Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.6% | 64.4% | +3.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +6 (71-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Rasmussen | 33 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| P. Taylor | 31 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 28 | 3-14 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -6 | - |
| K. Miller | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Snell | 15 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Lacy | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 36 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 19 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 31 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| A. DeForge | 28 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. White | 27 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| T. Whitmore | 25 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| L. Frohlich | 13 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| C. Smith | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Atkinson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter