Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +10 (80-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Christon | 35 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| L. Moore | 35 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 4-7 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| B. Farris | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| S. Baker | 24 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| E. Thorn | 13 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| A. Battle | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Tillis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | 35 | 9-19 | 2-7 | 9-12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 14 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| P. Taylor | 29 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Miller | 29 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Lacy | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. Snell | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Christensen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter