Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.2% | 70.8% | +4.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +4 (60-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Dixon | 35 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 0 | - |
| S. Swoopes | 32 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 3 | - |
| M. Snow | 32 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Kostic | 30 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Bass | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Hodges | 11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Kostaki | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 36 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 33 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| T. Whitmore | 32 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 30 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. White | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| A. DeForge | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Atkinson | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| O. Scott | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter