Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.6% | 54.4% | +1.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +6 (69-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 27 | 4-17 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Laura Summerton * | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Margo Dydek * | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Asjha Jones | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jamie Carey | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Megan Mahoney | 11 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yolanda Griffith * | 26 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 25 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Erin Perperoglou * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kara Lawson | 22 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kristin Haynie | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter