Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | +3.6 | ✗ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -10 (85-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Leslie | 39 | 12-21 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 26 | - |
| C. Holdsclaw | 33 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| T. Johnson | 31 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| L. Willis | 22 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Lewis | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| E. Ndongue | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Moore | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Mabika | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Page | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Moore | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 33 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 9-20 | 5-10 | 11-13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 25 | - |
| K. Miller | 30 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| P. Taylor | 26 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Lacy | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter