Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.7% | 21.3% | -7.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty -6 (88-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 39 | 12-22 | 7-12 | 5-6 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 36 | 31 | - |
| K. Miller | 38 | 4-15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 36 | 8-19 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 29 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 28 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| P. Taylor | 25 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Lacy | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Smith | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hammon | 36 | 6-17 | 4-8 | 8-8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 11 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 36 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| L. Moore | 33 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 28 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| B. Farris | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10 | - |
| E. Thorn | 23 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| S. Baker | 21 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| S. Christon | 13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Battle | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter