Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | +6.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +5 (82-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 36 | 10-24 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | - |
| K. Miller | 35 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 13 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 35 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 29 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 29 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| P. Taylor | 12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Lacy | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 35 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 29 | - |
| K. Douglas | 32 | 5-17 | 3-8 | 9-11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | - |
| L. Whalen | 32 | 6-17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 2 | - |
| A. Jones | 21 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| J. Carey | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Mahoney | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Dydek | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| E. Phillips | 11 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| L. Summerton | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Willingham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter