Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Sting | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.4% | 90.6% | +12.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Sting
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Sutton-Brown | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| S. Sam | 28 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| T. Smith | 27 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| H. Darling | 23 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 19 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Currie | 19 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Bond | 16 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| T. Fluker | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. McCarville | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Feaster | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| K. Douglas | 30 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| L. Whalen | 30 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 12-12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| N. Sales | 25 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| M. Dydek | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| A. Jones | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Mahoney | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E. Phillips | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Summerton | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| L. Willingham | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter