Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Detroit Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.9% | 74.1% | +5.8 | ✗ (20.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Shock -15 (76-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 35 | 12-19 | 4-6 | 7-7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 27 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| K. Miller | 31 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 30 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 26 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| P. Taylor | 15 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Lacy | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
Detroit Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nolan | 29 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| K. Smith | 27 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| P. Pierson | 25 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| K. Braxton | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| C. Ford | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| S. Cash | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Riley | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Holland-Corn | 13 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Williams | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Palie | 8 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Batteast | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter