Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Lady Hornets | Southern Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.4 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Jaguars +3 (61-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Lady Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Robinson | 0 | 4-11 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | - |
| L. Holloway | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Thomas | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Ross | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| F. Coleman | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Monroe | 0 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 13-13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| I. Johnson | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Jones | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Shiggs | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| F. Lewis | 0 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| C. Alexander | 35 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| P. Cipriano | 34 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 22 | - |
| D. Riley-Smith | 31 | 2-13 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| S. Wiley | 26 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. Campbell | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| A. Mott | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| R. Hishaw | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| B. Wardlow | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| G. Guillory | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Bradford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Anderson-Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter