Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.4% | 67.6% | +4.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -3 (78-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Robinson | 35 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| C. Melvin | 34 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| N. Teasley | 33 | 4-16 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Miller | 32 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| N. Sanford | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| L. Byears | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| N. Blue | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Z. Teilane | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | 36 | 8-21 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 32 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 13 | - |
| K. Vodichkova | 31 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| K. Miller | 28 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| P. Taylor | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Lacy | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Snell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter