Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.9% | 63.1% | +3.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -10 (66-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 35 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Nykesha Sales * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Margo Dydek * | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Asjha Jones | 28 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Laura Summerton | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Megan Mahoney | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 38 | 4-15 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Anna DeForge * | 33 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 32 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore * | 28 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | -2 | - |
| Tan White | 20 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Charlotte Smith | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Olympia Scott | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| La'Tangela Atkinson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K.B. Sharp | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter