Model Predictions
| Model | Boston College Eagles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.1 | ✗ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -3 (82-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dudley * | 40 | 8-11 | 3-5 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| C. Smith * | 37 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 23 | - |
| L. Hinnant * | 36 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| S. Marshall * | 25 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| J. Oates * | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| S. Williams | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| T. Rice | 20 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. McLain | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Noel * | 37 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| T. Hansbrough * | 35 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 23 | - |
| W. Miller * | 32 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Frasor * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Terry * | 24 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Green | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Sanders | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Copeland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter