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2006-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 76.1% 23.9% -
Bradley-Terry 54.7% 45.3% -
Margin 55.1% 44.9% -1.1 (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -
Efficiency 84.6% 15.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.6% 53.4% -
Log Adjusted 46.5% 53.5% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -16 (65-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Green * 37 5-13 3-8 5-5 3 3 6 0 1 18 16 -
J. Noah * 32 7-11 0-0 1-4 12 4 1 0 2 15 19 -
L. Humphrey * 32 2-7 2-7 3-6 2 0 1 0 1 9 4 -
C. Brewer * 25 6-9 1-3 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 15 7 -
A. Horford * 12 4-5 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 2 3 10 7 -
C. Richard 30 5-8 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 0 2 10 8 -
W. Hodge 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
A. Moss 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 1 -
D. Huertas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Berry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Tyler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Swanson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell * 36 8-14 2-6 2-2 9 1 3 0 3 20 16 -
G. Temple * 36 1-6 0-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 -2 -
D. Mitchell * 36 6-14 3-9 6-7 3 6 0 0 2 21 14 -
G. Davis * 32 5-12 0-0 2-3 7 0 0 0 6 12 1 -
D. Lazare * 32 4-6 0-0 2-4 1 0 1 0 1 10 5 -
M. Rolle 15 0-2 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 2 1 0 4 -
B. Voogd 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 0 1 -
C. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter