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2006-03-11

Model Predictions

Model South Carolina Gamecocks Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 61.4% 38.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.5% 56.5% - โœ—
Margin 41.9% 58.1% +1.8 โœ— (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 50.4% 49.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% - โœ—

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -4 (61-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Carolina Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Goree * 39 5-11 3-6 0-0 5 4 1 1 2 13 11 -
T. Kinsey * 39 6-14 3-8 3-4 2 3 1 0 2 18 8 -
B. Wallace * 32 2-5 0-2 1-2 5 3 0 2 2 5 8 -
R. Trice * 24 3-6 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
A. Tisby * 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
R. Balkman 29 4-7 0-0 0-2 8 3 2 0 0 8 14 -
B. Sheldon 19 4-6 4-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 12 7 -
K. Palacios 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Rondo * 30 2-5 0-1 2-2 4 8 3 0 1 6 15 -
J. Crawford * 29 4-11 4-9 1-2 5 3 0 1 1 13 10 -
R. Morris * 29 5-11 0-0 2-3 9 0 2 1 1 12 12 -
B. Perry * 27 1-7 0-2 2-2 6 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
P. Sparks * 23 3-7 3-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 5 9 3 -
R. Moss 18 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
S. Thomas 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Bradley 14 4-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 9 7 -
B. Stockton 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Obrzut 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Adetula 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Sims 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter