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2006-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Wyoming Cowboys San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 5.6% 94.4% -
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% -
Margin 17.8% 82.2% +8.4 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 32.9% 67.1% -
Efficiency 4.7% 95.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.2% 87.8% -
Log Adjusted 12.2% 87.8% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +5 (69-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Ewing * 43 6-14 1-5 9-11 5 1 3 0 2 22 15 -
B. Jones * 42 4-12 0-1 7-9 3 4 4 0 4 15 10 -
J. Williams * 39 3-10 0-0 1-2 16 1 0 6 2 7 18 -
S. Leven * 32 1-7 1-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 3 -4 -
D. Wabbington * 23 2-6 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
C. Anderson 27 3-6 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 0 1 7 8 -
K. Lewis 17 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 1 2 -
I. Okoye 2 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. LeSure * 41 7-27 2-8 6-8 7 1 2 0 0 22 5 -
R. Williams * 36 1-4 0-1 4-6 7 2 2 0 5 6 8 -
M. Slaughter * 35 3-9 0-0 10-13 13 0 2 0 2 16 20 -
M. Abukar * 32 3-11 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 6 -1 -
K. Spain * 28 2-5 0-0 7-8 12 0 3 1 1 11 21 -
J. Sharper 24 2-6 1-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 -2 -
B. Hudson 16 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 1 3 5 -
M. Thomas 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Camara 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter