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2006-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions Grambling Tigers Spread Result
Elo 44.9% 55.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% - โœ—
Margin 46.9% 53.1% +0.7 โœ— (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 55.9% 44.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 56.2% 43.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.0% 51.0% - โœ—

Actual: Grambling Tigers -12 (49-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Coleman * 37 4-11 0-3 7-8 2 1 2 1 0 15 10 -
J. Gunter * 37 4-9 0-0 0-0 11 2 1 3 2 8 14 -
V. Smith * 31 3-6 1-2 3-4 3 0 2 0 0 10 9 -
W. Byrd * 25 3-6 1-1 2-5 8 2 0 3 2 9 14 -
L. Williams * 17 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
M. Goins 23 4-9 0-1 0-1 1 1 1 0 0 8 2 -
J. Frierson 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
T. Noel 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
T. Hamilton 6 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
R. Patterson 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Ratliff * 38 2-13 1-6 1-2 0 1 0 0 2 6 -8 -
D. Gordon * 38 7-15 1-1 2-2 8 3 2 0 3 17 12 -
A. Williams * 29 5-12 1-3 5-6 6 1 0 1 2 16 10 -
J. Lewis * 24 2-8 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
M. Stevens * 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Dorsey 25 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 4 8 -
R. Thomas 15 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Breaux 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
D. McFadden 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Jefferson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Cann 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter