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2006-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 26.6% 73.4% -
Bradley-Terry 64.5% 35.5% -
Margin 64.1% 35.9% -3.2 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% -
Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% -
Log Adjusted 42.0% 58.0% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -7 (61-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Crawford 36 5-11 4-7 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 14 7 -
P. Sparks 30 4-13 3-9 2-2 0 4 2 0 1 13 5 -
R. Rondo 29 1-7 0-2 1-2 8 6 3 0 2 3 11 -
B. Perry 24 6-12 1-4 0-0 9 1 1 2 0 13 14 -
R. Morris 23 4-6 0-0 3-4 7 0 1 2 2 11 13 -
R. Sims 12 3-4 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
S. Thomas 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 0 3 -
R. Moss 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Bradley 8 0-5 0-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 2 1 -1 -
M. Adetula 5 2-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 2 0 5 5 -
P. LeMaster 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Obrzut 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Stockton 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Steele 39 3-15 3-10 4-4 5 5 0 0 4 13 4 -
R. Hendrix 35 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 3 4 5 -
A. Gee 32 7-12 3-4 1-2 8 0 1 0 1 18 14 -
E. Brock 30 1-3 0-0 0-3 1 2 3 0 1 2 4 -
J. Felix 30 1-9 1-6 4-5 8 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
J. Davidson 24 7-15 0-0 1-4 10 2 0 0 4 15 8 -
B. Hollinger 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 5 -

* = starter