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2006-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 25.8% 74.2% -
Bradley-Terry 43.0% 57.0% -
Margin 37.8% 62.2% +2.7 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% -
Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% -
Log Adjusted 27.8% 72.2% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers -5 (56-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Strickland * 39 6-9 2-3 2-4 5 4 0 0 4 16 12 -
R. Vaden * 39 2-10 1-6 2-2 5 4 1 1 0 7 8 -
M. Killingsworth * 34 10-15 0-1 0-0 12 0 1 0 4 20 14 -
E. Calloway * 22 3-4 0-1 0-2 4 2 2 0 3 6 7 -
A.J. Ratliff * 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
R. Wilmont 30 4-8 3-5 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 11 6 -
E. Suhr 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 4 -
B. Allen 5 0-2 0-2 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
L. Monroe 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Kline 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Flowers * 37 3-13 1-4 2-4 4 0 1 0 2 9 -1 -
R. Nixon * 32 1-8 0-6 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 -1 -
A. Tucker * 28 8-18 0-2 4-6 8 1 0 0 3 20 8 -
B. Butch * 27 5-10 1-2 1-2 9 0 0 1 1 12 11 -
K. Taylor * 21 0-6 0-1 3-4 1 0 0 0 3 3 -5 -
J. Krabbenhoft 22 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
K. Gullikson 20 4-6 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 10 9 -
T. Bronson 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Chappell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter