Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.8% | 76.2% | +6.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +12 (79-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Reynolds * | 38 | 3-16 | 2-9 | 12-14 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| S. Singletary * | 37 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 12-12 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 27 | - |
| L. Mikalauskas * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. Joseph * | 27 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Cain * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Diane | 17 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| T. Bannister | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Campbell | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Soroye | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Noel * | 36 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| T. Hansbrough * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| R. Terry * | 28 | 8-13 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| W. Miller * | 25 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| B. Frasor * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Green | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| B. Sanders | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter