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2006-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Wake Forest Demon Deacons NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 37.7% 62.3% -
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% -
Margin 18.2% 81.8% +8.2 (19.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 20.5% 79.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.9% 64.1% -
Log Adjusted 35.9% 64.1% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack -11 (71-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Drum * 39 5-7 2-3 0-1 2 5 1 0 1 12 12 -
J. Gray * 35 4-13 3-10 8-8 5 10 1 0 5 19 17 -
E. Williams * 31 8-13 0-0 4-10 8 0 1 2 5 20 13 -
T. Strickland * 26 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 0 4 -
C. Ellis * 25 6-8 1-3 2-2 7 0 0 1 2 15 13 -
C. Stanley 19 2-3 0-0 6-8 3 1 4 0 0 10 15 -
K. Visser 18 1-4 0-0 4-4 10 0 0 1 1 6 12 -
H. Hale 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -
K. Swinton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Bennerman * 39 10-19 3-10 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 23 9 -
E. Atsur * 38 1-6 1-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 4 3 1 -
T. Bethel * 35 3-10 2-7 0-0 6 3 3 0 3 8 7 -
I. Evtimov * 27 2-8 2-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 6 0 -
A. Brackman * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
G. Grant 35 9-13 1-2 5-7 4 3 0 0 3 24 15 -
C. Simmons 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 4 -1 -
B. McCauley 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Fells 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter