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2006-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 77.6% 22.4% -
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% -
Margin 30.9% 69.1% +4.4 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 36.2% 63.8% -
Efficiency 10.5% 89.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.7% 87.3% -
Log Adjusted 12.7% 87.3% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +19 (92-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Byars * 37 6-10 5-8 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 17 8 -
S. Foster * 32 4-9 2-3 3-4 5 0 0 0 1 13 8 -
J. Terrell * 28 5-8 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 2 13 6 -
D. Carroll * 26 2-6 0-1 1-2 5 3 0 0 3 5 4 -
A. Gordon * 21 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 6 1 0 2 9 9 -
A. Metcalfe 17 3-7 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 6 0 -
D. Cage 15 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Moore 15 3-6 1-4 1-2 2 0 1 0 2 8 3 -
T. Skuchas 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
A. Hammond 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Davis * 36 10-18 1-3 7-11 13 1 1 0 1 28 24 -
T. Mitchell * 35 8-12 3-3 1-2 4 4 1 0 0 20 17 -
D. Mitchell * 31 3-11 0-2 0-0 5 4 3 0 0 6 7 -
D. Lazare * 30 6-9 0-0 4-6 5 1 3 1 2 16 15 -
G. Temple * 26 4-6 4-6 2-2 2 4 0 0 3 14 11 -
B. Voogd 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 0 3 2 2 -
M. Rolle 15 2-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 1 6 8 -
C. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Fleshman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter