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2006-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 21.3% 78.7% -
Bradley-Terry 36.5% 63.5% -
Margin 25.6% 74.4% +5.9 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 13.4% 86.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.3% 67.7% -
Log Adjusted 32.3% 67.7% -

Actual: Florida Gators +3 (74-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Payne * 37 6-11 2-3 4-4 7 4 6 0 2 18 22 -
E. Ferguson * 34 2-13 1-7 1-1 1 2 1 0 4 6 -7 -
J. Modica * 26 4-8 1-3 4-4 1 1 0 0 1 13 6 -
C. Thomas * 23 7-13 2-3 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 17 8 -
S. Hill * 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 0 2 5 -
D. Townes 21 2-6 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 1 1 5 6 -
V. Hunter 19 3-5 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 1 2 8 5 -
S. McCurdy 15 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 2 4 -
D. Jefferson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Green * 35 6-8 5-5 3-4 6 5 1 0 4 20 20 -
L. Humphrey * 35 8-14 5-9 4-4 4 2 1 0 1 25 17 -
J. Noah * 32 2-9 0-0 5-6 6 0 0 1 0 9 7 -
C. Brewer * 31 4-9 0-1 1-2 4 1 1 0 7 9 -1 -
A. Horford * 31 4-7 0-0 3-6 8 0 0 2 2 11 12 -
C. Richard 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
W. Hodge 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Moss 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter