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UNLV Rebels 60
@
San Diego State Aztecs 63
2006-03-10

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 6.9% 93.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% - ✓
Margin 34.1% 65.9% +3.6 ✓ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.7% 60.3% - ✓
Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 28.8% 71.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 28.8% 71.2% - ✓

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +3 (63-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Morgan * 36 4-15 3-8 2-3 4 3 1 1 3 13 4 -
C. Terry * 36 0-7 0-3 0-0 4 3 2 0 1 0 1 -
W. Adams * 36 7-15 0-5 0-2 6 3 3 0 3 14 8 -
L. Amundson * 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 1 4 6 8 -
D. Villepigue * 14 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
W. White 26 5-11 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 12 2 -
G. Essengue 22 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 6 8 -
J. Darger 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
R. Berkey 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. LeSure * 36 9-21 2-9 2-2 7 2 0 0 2 22 8 -
M. Slaughter * 34 3-6 0-0 10-12 14 4 1 0 6 16 23 -
M. Abukar * 32 2-9 0-2 3-4 4 1 1 2 1 7 5 -
R. Williams * 28 3-7 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 7 1 -
K. Spain * 22 2-5 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 6 4 -
J. Sharper 21 1-6 1-5 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 5 -2 -
M. Thomas 13 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 -
M. Camara 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
B. Hudson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter