Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Northern Illinois Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -2.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Illinois Huskies -1 (77-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Payne | 36 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Villegas | 31 | 7-16 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| J. Ingram | 30 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| F. Valencia | 27 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| K. Howell | 22 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - |
| A. Currie | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Amos | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Young | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Northern Illinois Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Peterson | 38 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 10-10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 21 | - |
| A. Maestranzi | 37 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. McKinney | 36 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | - |
| C. Sims | 28 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Z. Pancratz | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Hughes | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| R. Paradise | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Reichel | 10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| B. McKenzie | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
* = starter