Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +1 (65-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Collins * | 34 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Box * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Chiotti * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Walter * | 8 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Harden * | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Hart | 39 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| M. Walters | 34 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Danridge | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| D. Faris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Prentice | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Morgan * | 38 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| C. Terry * | 37 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Amundson * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 10 | - |
| W. Adams * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | - |
| D. Villepigue * | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| W. White | 25 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Darger | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Berkey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter