Model Predictions
| Model | Jackson State Tigers | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | +0.2 | ✗ (18.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | +1.3 | ✗ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets -18 (65-83). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Jackson State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Johnson III | 35 | 9-24 | 3-6 | 5-7 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 11 | - |
| D. Wallace | 33 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 6-10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Catraiva Givens | 29 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Charlie White | 28 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Julius Young | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ernest Hassell | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Antonio Williams-Parker | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Edwin Jarrow | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jeremy Caldwell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rod Smith | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| H. Tompkins | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Oliver | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Dustin Richmond | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Richard Lott Jr. | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Cedric Mitchell | 24 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Joel Bosh | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| H. Warren | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Andrew Hayles | 20 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A. Claborn | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Lamarquis Blake | 12 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Brandon Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter