Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.4% | 78.6% | +7.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +19 (71-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. O'Donnell * | 30 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Peppers * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| M. Johnson * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Rose * | 25 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Williams * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| L. Payne | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Taylor | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. Noel | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Lindbeck | 9 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Gill | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Zondervan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D. Speraw | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Latham * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| L. Smith * | 34 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Thorpe * | 33 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| O. Lafayette * | 29 | 7-16 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | - |
| R. Dyer * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Lawson | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| S. Anderson | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Brannon | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. de Randamie | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Bloom | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Adeife | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Lyons | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Martin | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter