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2006-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 33.6% 66.4% -
Bradley-Terry 44.2% 55.8% -
Margin 35.4% 64.6% +3.3 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 18.7% 81.3% -
Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.7% 94.3% -
Log Adjusted 5.6% 94.4% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Robertson * 39 5-10 1-2 6-6 2 3 1 0 0 17 13 -
R. LeMelle * 37 5-12 3-7 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 13 7 -
R. Barrett * 31 4-13 3-7 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 11 2 -
F. Tolbert * 28 7-13 4-8 0-0 6 0 0 1 1 18 11 -
K. Barber * 20 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
D. Hayles 27 2-5 0-3 2-2 4 3 1 0 0 6 9 -
J. Cameron 17 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 1 1 5 -
L. Jackson 1 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Byars * 39 7-13 5-8 2-2 3 2 0 0 3 21 10 -
D. Carroll * 38 4-7 0-0 0-1 6 5 0 0 3 8 9 -
S. Foster * 35 6-12 5-11 3-5 9 2 0 0 2 20 17 -
A. Gordon * 32 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 4 1 0 2 5 3 -
J. Terrell * 27 4-7 0-0 5-8 8 1 0 0 0 13 15 -
A. Metcalfe 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
D. Cage 9 0-0 0-0 5-6 1 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
M. Moore 7 0-2 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter