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2006-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 13.0% 87.0% -
Bradley-Terry 24.7% 75.3% -
Margin 16.7% 83.3% +8.8 (23.2 off)
Pythagorean 17.2% 82.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +32 (79-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Jones * 30 8-14 2-4 1-2 6 3 2 0 1 19 15 -
K. Jeffers * 29 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 2 1 1 3 6 -
C. Stephens * 29 2-14 1-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 5 -8 -
J. McGillis * 25 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 2 1 1 3 3 -
W. Washington * 14 1-5 0-1 4-4 5 1 0 0 5 6 2 -
J. Fontenet 25 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 0 2 0 3 6 5 -
M. Johnson 19 1-5 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 1 2 3 -1 -
L. Hughes 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 1 0 3 -
A. Tsagarakis 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
B. Casey 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 1 1 0 1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hollins * 24 6-8 0-0 5-9 8 1 0 0 0 17 18 -
A. Afflalo * 23 6-11 3-4 1-2 2 2 1 0 4 16 6 -
J. Farmar * 22 3-8 1-4 0-0 0 5 1 0 4 7 1 -
L. Mbah a Moute * 19 1-1 0-0 2-3 5 1 1 0 1 4 9 -
C. Bozeman * 10 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 6 3 -
D. Collison 23 2-5 1-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 5 6 -
M. Roll 22 3-3 3-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 9 10 -
A. Aboya 17 1-1 0-0 3-6 4 2 0 0 1 5 9 -
R. Wright 13 0-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
J. Rubin 12 3-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
M. Fey 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
L. Mata-Real 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 2 1 -
D. Robinson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter