Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon State Beavers | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✓ (23.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +32 (79-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jones * | 30 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| K. Jeffers * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| C. Stephens * | 29 | 2-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -8 | - |
| J. McGillis * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| W. Washington * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Fontenet | 25 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Johnson | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| L. Hughes | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Tsagarakis | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| B. Casey | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Hollins * | 24 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| A. Afflalo * | 23 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| J. Farmar * | 22 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | - |
| L. Mbah a Moute * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Bozeman * | 10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Collison | 23 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Roll | 22 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A. Aboya | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| R. Wright | 13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Rubin | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Fey | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Mata-Real | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Robinson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter