Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +12 (64-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lewis * | 39 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Smith * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 6 | - |
| F. Robinson * | 26 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| S. Gilling * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Harrison | 39 | 10-17 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 22 | - |
| A. Patterson | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Morris | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C.J. Clark | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Slaughter * | 36 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 24 | - |
| N. LeSure * | 35 | 6-17 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | - |
| K. Spain * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| R. Williams * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Camara * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Abukar | 36 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| M. Thomas | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Sharper | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
* = starter