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2006-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Georgia Bulldogs Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 51.8% 48.2% -
Bradley-Terry 34.8% 65.2% -
Margin 25.2% 74.8% +6.0 (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 18.7% 81.3% -
Efficiency 3.9% 96.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.3% 96.7% -
Log Adjusted 3.3% 96.7% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +13 (80-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Toney * 31 4-7 2-5 0-0 6 1 1 0 4 10 7 -
S. Gaines * 26 3-5 1-2 2-2 7 4 3 0 3 9 15 -
L. Stukes * 24 3-11 3-10 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 9 -5 -
S. Newman * 14 2-6 0-1 1-2 4 0 1 0 1 5 3 -
D. Bliss * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Y. Idrissi 32 6-13 0-0 2-4 7 1 1 5 3 14 12 -
R. Singleton 21 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 5 1 0 4 -
B. Humphrey 19 0-3 0-3 4-4 4 2 1 0 1 4 7 -
M. Mercer 17 6-10 4-7 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 16 6 -
K. Brophy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Ferguson * 34 6-10 4-6 0-0 7 4 3 0 4 16 16 -
J. Modica * 34 6-14 0-5 8-10 1 1 1 0 1 20 8 -
J. Payne * 32 7-12 1-4 3-4 3 5 3 0 0 18 17 -
C. Thomas * 22 6-11 0-0 2-3 6 2 0 0 4 14 7 -
S. Hill * 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 2 0 0 5 -
D. Townes 25 2-8 0-0 3-4 2 0 1 1 0 7 3 -
V. Hunter 15 1-5 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
D. Jefferson 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 0 0 -
S. McCurdy 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
C. McGowan 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Cranford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter