Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.3% | 33.7% | -3.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -13 (60-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hasquet * | 34 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| A. Strait * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Dlouhy * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| V. Matthews * | 31 | 7-8 | 4-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 16 | - |
| K. Criswell * | 28 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| B. Ellis | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| M. Chavez | 8 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| S. Mayes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Martin | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilson * | 37 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Bazy * | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| R. Boykin Jr. * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| K. Golob * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| R. McCurdy * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Sir | 30 | 5-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| K. Landry | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Hensley | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Van Patten | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Seckold | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Green | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter