Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | UMass Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.1% | 34.9% | -3.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMass Minutemen -9 (66-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Burrell | 38 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 15 | - |
| J. Cage | 37 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Doellman | 33 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| J. Wolf | 32 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| B. Cole | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| B.J. Raymond | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Duncan | 17 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| W. Caudle | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lowe | 39 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. Life | 37 | 8-19 | 6-15 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 5 | - |
| S. Lasme | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| R. Freeman | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 17 | - |
| J. Viggiano | 30 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| L. Carrier | 12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Thomas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Milligan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter