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2006-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Bowling Green Falcons Toledo Rockets Spread Result
Elo 41.5% 58.5% -
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% -
Margin 26.4% 73.6% +5.6 (19.4 off)

Actual: Toledo Rockets +25 (77-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Samarco 38 4-12 1-4 4-5 1 0 1 0 7 13 -4 -
J. Floyd 36 2-10 0-4 2-2 1 4 1 0 1 6 1 -
M. Soler 33 4-9 0-2 4-6 5 1 2 0 5 12 6 -
E. Marschall 33 5-9 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 2 11 4 -
D. Clements 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 2 5 -
M. Lefeld 20 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
P. Robinson 18 2-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 2 0 3 5 2 -

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ingram 31 7-12 2-6 7-7 0 3 3 0 2 23 15 -
K. Payne 27 0-2 0-2 1-2 6 4 0 0 5 1 4 -
S. Villegas 27 3-6 2-5 4-4 2 0 2 0 1 12 9 -
F. Valencia 26 3-5 0-0 2-2 8 3 2 0 2 8 14 -
A. Currie 23 2-4 0-2 1-2 4 0 1 1 1 5 6 -
K. Howell 17 2-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 1 2 6 5 -
J. Young 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 3 6 6 -
J. Amos 15 4-5 0-1 2-2 1 0 3 0 2 10 7 -
R. Johnson 11 1-2 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
T. Kent 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
H. Charalambous 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter