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2006-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 22.5% 77.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“
Margin 10.8% 89.2% +11.6 โœ“ (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.0% 94.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 5.7% 94.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.7% 73.3% - โœ“

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +4 (68-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jefferson 0 2-9 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
V. Lucas-Perry 0 1-8 0-5 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
L. Shimek 0 10-18 1-2 2-2 8 0 0 0 0 23 13 -
R. Haynes 0 3-10 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 7 0 -
L. Bowen 0 3-10 3-7 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 11 4 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Davenport 0 5-12 0-0 0-1 11 0 0 0 0 10 9 -
D. Merrill 0 6-8 0-2 3-4 6 0 0 0 0 15 13 -
M. Packer 0 3-7 3-7 6-6 1 0 0 0 0 15 9 -
B. Hoskins 0 6-14 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 15 5 -
A. Allen 0 2-6 2-5 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 8 4 -

* = starter