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2006-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 53.1% 46.9% -
Bradley-Terry 32.1% 67.9% -
Margin 25.1% 74.9% +6.0 (21.0 off)
Pythagorean 60.6% 39.4% -
Efficiency 89.8% 10.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.6% 18.4% -
Log Adjusted 81.7% 18.3% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -15 (64-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Humphrey * 31 6-14 4-11 1-4 4 3 0 0 1 17 9 -
A. Horford * 31 4-10 0-0 5-7 9 4 0 1 4 13 13 -
J. Noah * 30 6-8 0-0 3-4 11 3 0 4 1 15 24 -
T. Green * 29 2-7 1-5 2-2 2 1 1 0 3 7 1 -
C. Brewer * 23 3-5 1-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 1 7 7 -
W. Hodge 24 4-5 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 9 3 -
C. Richard 16 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 8 9 -
D. Huertas 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
A. Moss 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Berry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Tyler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Swanson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Stockton * 27 2-5 1-1 2-2 0 2 1 0 0 7 5 -
P. Sparks * 27 3-10 1-6 1-1 3 2 0 0 1 8 2 -
R. Moss * 24 3-7 2-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 8 3 -
L. Obrzut * 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
P. LeMaster * 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Crawford 28 6-10 2-6 7-9 3 0 0 0 0 21 14 -
R. Rondo 25 2-6 0-1 0-2 2 4 3 0 1 4 6 -
R. Morris 19 5-9 0-0 4-7 5 0 1 1 0 14 12 -
B. Perry 17 1-7 0-2 0-0 6 0 1 1 1 2 2 -
S. Thomas 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
R. Sims 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Carter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Adetula 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter