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2006-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 80.0% 20.0% -
Bradley-Terry 42.8% 57.2% -
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 94.5% 5.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% -
Log Adjusted 33.2% 66.8% -

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +13 (59-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bennett * 37 4-13 2-6 1-2 10 5 2 0 1 11 14 -
M. Sommerville * 36 3-11 1-7 4-4 7 2 0 0 2 11 7 -
D. Ruffin * 24 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 2 0 -
J.J. Tauai * 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
P. O'Bryant 31 7-10 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 3 5 16 8 -
W. Franklin 28 2-5 0-3 0-2 2 2 4 0 2 4 5 -
L. Wright 23 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -4 -
Z. Andrews 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Adams 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
B. Lavin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Tatum * 39 4-15 2-5 6-8 3 2 0 0 4 16 2 -
R. Falker * 36 7-15 0-0 3-6 16 2 1 2 5 17 18 -
M. Shaw * 35 5-9 1-3 3-4 8 4 3 0 0 14 20 -
T. Young * 30 2-8 0-2 5-5 3 1 2 0 3 9 4 -
B. Mullins * 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 0 4 -
W. Clemmons 26 0-2 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 1 2 -
J. Foster 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
A. Brooks 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter