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2006-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Georgia Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 31.8% 68.2% -
Bradley-Terry 51.3% 48.7% -
Margin 48.0% 52.0% +0.4 (17.4 off)
Pythagorean 75.3% 24.7% -
Efficiency 90.1% 9.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.7% 9.3% -
Log Adjusted 90.7% 9.3% -

Actual: Georgia Bulldogs -17 (57-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Payne * 32 11-20 1-4 2-3 4 1 3 0 1 25 12 -
J. Modica * 32 6-15 2-6 5-5 6 1 1 0 1 19 11 -
E. Ferguson * 32 4-8 2-5 1-2 2 5 3 0 1 11 12 -
C. Thomas * 27 6-13 0-0 3-4 15 2 0 0 0 15 19 -
S. Hill * 17 0-4 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
D. Townes 21 1-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 2 0 -
D. Jefferson 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
V. Hunter 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
S. McCurdy 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. McGowan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
P. Cranford 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Georgia Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gaines * 30 3-9 0-1 3-6 8 2 1 1 4 9 8 -
Y. Idrissi * 28 2-8 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 -1 -
C. Toney * 26 2-7 1-3 0-0 8 1 0 0 0 5 7 -
D. Bliss * 17 1-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 2 3 5 4 -
J. McAuley * 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
M. Mercer 27 2-9 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 4 -4 -
R. Singleton 24 2-3 0-0 0-4 8 0 0 3 1 4 11 -
B. Humphrey 16 3-5 3-5 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 10 6 -
L. Stukes 13 1-5 0-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
S. Newman 12 4-6 0-1 1-1 0 0 1 0 0 9 4 -
K. Brophy 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter