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2006-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Murray State Racers Samford Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 84.0% 16.0% -
Bradley-Terry 61.2% 38.8% -
Margin 65.0% 35.0% -3.4 (13.6 off)
Efficiency 96.1% 3.9% -

Actual: Samford Bulldogs -17 (57-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Witherspoon * 35 2-5 2-4 3-5 14 2 1 0 1 9 20 -
J. Orr * 31 4-6 0-1 2-4 7 1 0 1 1 10 12 -
K. Jenifer * 23 2-5 1-1 0-0 0 4 1 0 3 5 2 -
P. Griffith * 23 4-9 0-0 3-5 5 1 0 0 2 11 6 -
D. Hopkins * 18 3-7 0-4 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
T. Pearson 23 6-7 3-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 15 13 -
T. Holloway 17 4-5 3-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 13 10 -
C. Johnson 12 0-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
I. Redding 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 1 3 -
R. Kennedy 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
M. Wright 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. McCoy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T.J. Wolf 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Smith * 39 0-7 0-6 0-0 5 4 1 0 2 0 1 -
J. Robert Merritt * 39 8-19 8-17 2-2 7 0 1 0 0 26 15 -
T. Peterson * 37 7-15 1-4 0-3 2 3 1 1 0 15 7 -
R. Gulina * 36 2-11 1-8 3-4 6 4 0 0 0 8 7 -
J. Merritt * 21 1-3 1-1 0-1 2 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
C. West 23 2-5 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 5 5 -
R. Woolsey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Black 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. LoPiano 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter