Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.3% | 89.7% | +11.9 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats +7 (65-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jordan | 38 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| C. Chalko | 28 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| B. Waters | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Rice | 27 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | - |
| J. Atoyebi | 19 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| M. Watson | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Harris | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Wyatt | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. James | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Johnson | 34 | 8-10 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| B. Winters | 34 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| T. Sander | 32 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | - |
| M. McKillop | 27 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Richards | 21 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | - |
| J. Morton | 19 | 3-11 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -2 | - |
| T. Grant | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| B. Meno | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter