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2006-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Providence Friars Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 30.2% 69.8% -
Bradley-Terry 25.8% 74.2% -
Margin 16.3% 83.7% +9.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 29.3% 70.7% -
Efficiency 9.4% 90.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.5% 80.5% -
Log Adjusted 19.5% 80.5% -

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles +10 (88-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Curry 39 3-14 0-6 0-1 2 3 1 0 5 6 -7 -
D. McGrath 39 5-21 3-11 5-7 3 1 2 0 2 18 1 -
G. McDermott 38 4-11 0-1 6-10 16 4 3 0 2 14 24 -
W. Efejuku 32 3-12 1-4 5-7 7 4 5 0 1 12 15 -
R. Hanke 29 10-13 0-0 3-4 15 0 3 0 0 23 28 -
H. Hill 11 1-3 0-0 3-4 2 1 1 2 1 5 7 -
C. Burch 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -5 -
J. Kale 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. James 31 4-10 0-2 1-2 5 9 1 0 2 9 12 -
S. Novak 28 7-11 6-8 0-0 6 3 2 0 3 20 17 -
W. Matthews 27 7-8 2-2 2-3 3 1 1 0 4 18 11 -
J. Chapman 26 1-4 0-2 0-0 5 3 1 2 1 2 8 -
D. Fitzgerald 21 3-4 3-4 2-3 0 6 0 0 1 11 12 -
J. McNeal 19 4-10 0-0 5-6 6 1 2 0 5 13 7 -
O. Barro 16 5-8 0-0 3-5 5 0 1 0 3 13 8 -
D. Burke 12 0-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
C. Grimm 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Kinsella 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Lott 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Amoroso 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter