Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Rice Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.9% | 54.1% | +0.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | +0.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Rice Owls +2 (68-66). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dez Willingham | 35 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Bryan Hopkins | 33 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Derrick Roberts | 31 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Devon Pearson | 26 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Donatas Rackauskas | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Ike Ofoegbu | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brian Morris | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Bamba Fall | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Brian Epps | 9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jon Killen | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morris Almond | 37 | 14-19 | 2-4 | 10-11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 31 | - |
| J.R. Harrison | 30 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Patrick Britton | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Lorenzo Williams | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jamaal Moore | 21 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Paulius Packevicius | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Greg Killings | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Rodney Foster | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Matt Hagen | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| J. Bridges | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter