Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +7 (69-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Thorpe * | 38 | 8-14 | 4-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 23 | - |
| B. Latham * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. Dyer * | 30 | 4-14 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| O. Lafayette * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Smith * | 22 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Lawson | 32 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| D. Brannon | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. de Randamie | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Martin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Anderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Bloom | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Carney * | 34 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| D. Washington Jr. * | 31 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | - |
| S. Williams * | 29 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 10 | - |
| C. Douglas-Roberts * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| J. Dorsey * | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Anderson | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Dozier | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| K. Cooper | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Allen | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| W. Williams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Wade | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter