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2006-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 62.6% 37.4% -
Bradley-Terry 58.5% 41.5% -
Margin 52.2% 47.8% -0.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 71.4% 28.6% -
Efficiency 80.4% 19.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.4% 13.6% -
Log Adjusted 86.6% 13.4% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers +3 (65-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Oguchi 35 6-14 4-11 4-5 2 2 0 0 2 20 8 -
M. Hairston 34 5-14 0-4 1-2 7 0 1 2 3 11 4 -
J. Kent 29 2-2 1-1 1-2 3 0 1 2 0 6 10 -
A. Brooks 28 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 5 2 -
B. Lincoln 21 2-5 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 1 1 6 3 -
M. Leunen 21 2-4 1-3 2-3 4 1 0 0 0 7 8 -
I. Johnson 13 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
R. Schafer 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 0 1 -
A. Zahn 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 4 3 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Cuic 35 7-14 3-5 4-6 3 0 0 3 1 21 12 -
C. Stephens 35 4-9 1-2 4-4 4 1 0 0 1 13 8 -
K. Jeffers 34 4-12 0-0 0-0 8 2 4 3 1 8 12 -
M. Jones 32 4-8 2-4 0-0 6 3 2 0 2 10 11 -
J. Fontenet 27 2-6 0-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 6 3 -
W. Washington 16 0-0 0-0 4-7 3 2 0 0 1 4 8 -
J. McGillis 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 3 3 -
B. Casey 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
M. Johnson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Hurd 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter