Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.3% | 84.7% | +9.4 | ✗ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -7 (76-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Redick * | 39 | 5-21 | 2-10 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 4 | - |
| S. Williams * | 32 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | - |
| G. Paulus * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Melchionni * | 27 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Nelson | 29 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| J. McRoberts | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Vazquez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Boateng | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Pocius | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Boykin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter