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2006-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento State Hornets Montana State Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 17.3% 82.7% -
Bradley-Terry 26.8% 73.2% -
Margin 19.8% 80.2% +7.7 (8.7 off)
Efficiency 38.1% 61.9% -

Actual: Montana State Bobcats -1 (70-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Freeman 36 3-11 0-4 6-6 5 5 2 0 1 12 12 -
A. Bausley 35 6-8 1-3 3-11 3 3 2 0 1 16 15 -
L. Leath 30 5-16 3-9 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 13 2 -
C. Woods 23 2-5 2-3 2-2 3 0 2 0 1 8 7 -
J. Williams 22 5-8 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 2 0 12 11 -
J. Harris 19 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 4 4 1 -
H. Hargrave 15 1-3 0-1 4-4 2 0 1 0 0 6 6 -
A. Perry 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
D. Roberts 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Z. Beekman 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Gilzene 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
C. Lange 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Durham 30 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 8 2 -
J. Jefferson 30 3-10 1-6 5-10 6 7 3 0 3 12 15 -
D. Edmonds 25 2-7 1-5 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 7 5 -
M. Moss 24 3-6 1-2 3-6 3 1 0 1 1 10 8 -
L. Ball 22 2-6 1-3 3-4 6 1 0 0 1 8 8 -
A. Beye 21 2-2 0-0 4-6 6 0 0 2 1 8 13 -
T. Morris 18 3-6 0-0 3-5 4 0 0 0 1 9 6 -
J. Wilson 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 3 -2 -
C. Durr 8 0-1 0-1 2-3 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
T. Pratt 8 0-0 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 1 3 5 -

* = starter