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2006-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 16.9% 83.1% -
Bradley-Terry 64.6% 35.4% -
Margin 67.3% 32.7% -4.0 (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.4% 67.6% -
Log Adjusted 32.3% 67.7% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +8 (60-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Miller * 37 6-16 0-0 3-4 6 0 2 1 2 15 6 -
P.J. Couisnard * 36 0-6 0-2 0-0 9 3 0 0 2 0 4 -
S. Ogirri * 34 6-9 5-6 2-2 3 1 0 0 4 19 10 -
M. Braeuer * 23 3-7 0-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 8 5 -
K. Wilson * 22 0-9 0-2 0-0 7 1 2 0 3 0 -2 -
K. Bradley 24 1-5 0-2 3-6 6 1 2 1 1 5 9 -
R. Martin 18 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
N. Rogers 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
W. Preadom 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ruffin * 37 1-7 0-2 6-6 1 6 2 0 2 8 8 -
M. Sommerville * 35 7-17 1-5 2-4 14 1 1 1 2 17 15 -
T. Bennett * 32 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 5 1 -
J.J. Tauai * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
P. O'Bryant 31 7-15 0-0 3-3 10 0 3 5 1 17 19 -
L. Wright 28 3-8 0-1 5-6 3 1 1 1 0 11 9 -
W. Franklin 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
B. Heemskerk 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
D. Adams 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Z. Andrews 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter