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2006-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 17.0% 83.0% -
Bradley-Terry 47.3% 52.7% -
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 56.6% 43.4% -
Efficiency 66.8% 33.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.0% 38.0% -
Log Adjusted 62.4% 37.6% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs -11 (45-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Greenman 40 4-10 1-3 4-5 3 5 4 0 1 13 14 -
J. Conway 35 2-4 0-2 4-4 7 2 3 0 7 8 9 -
K. Koncz 35 3-4 1-2 4-4 5 0 2 0 3 11 11 -
N. Savage 31 3-10 0-4 4-9 3 2 0 0 0 10 5 -
L. Owings 29 2-4 0-1 2-2 3 0 2 1 1 6 7 -
K. Steuerer 19 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 3 -
M. Strittmatter 11 2-3 0-1 1-1 2 1 0 1 1 5 5 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Flato 33 5-12 3-9 2-3 0 2 1 0 3 15 3 -
D. Martin 31 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 6 6 -
C. Hughes 30 1-6 0-0 8-12 4 2 4 0 2 10 12 -
S. Kaplan 29 3-6 0-0 3-7 7 0 0 0 3 9 7 -
N. Holmes 23 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 0 0 -
C. Holmes 21 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 0 -2 -
R. Morin 18 1-3 0-0 3-3 1 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
T. Pinick 8 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
C. Andrews 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Greenberg 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter