Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 9.6% | 90.4% | +12.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -4 (59-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nwaelele | 40 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| A. Hood | 40 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 22 | - |
| M. McCraw | 38 | 6-10 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 36 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Anderson | 29 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Frye | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Holum | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Kenzik | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harrison | 39 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Smith | 38 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 21 | - |
| C. Lewis | 35 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| S. Creason | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| S. Gilling | 24 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| A. Patterson | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| F. Robinson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| S. Morris | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Harris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter